Here is another positive sign that the East Bay real estate market is starting to pick up. Current months of inventory is down 25% compared to thirty days ago, per attachment.

The micro-markets continue to have large variations. Orinda at 3.33 months and Hayward at 18.88 months. Overall for the twenty-six East Bay communities we follow, 10.33 months of inventory, still a buyer?s market.

This window of opportunity for buyers may be starting to close. There is no better time to buy than now. With interest rates below 6% for thirty year fixed conforming loans ($417,000) and the conforming limits most likely to be raised substantially by Congress soon just enhances this opportunity.

For the year 2007 the fourteen communities in CCAR, average prices were down approximately 4% & transactions off 16% compared to 2006.

Real estate is a local business, but for your information, the national sales figures for 2007 were just reported by NAR. Existing single family home sales were down 13% in 2007 on top of an 8% decrease in 2006. Median price for 2007, $217,800, down 1.8% from 2006, the first national decline in 75 years.

We have been experiencing the results of the out of control speculative and frenzy markets of ?03, ?04, ?05, that has created this buying opportunity.




Months of Inventory   2/1/2008
Community # of Active Pending Sales Months of Inventory
Danville 204 22 9.27
Alamo 69 6 11.50
Walnut Creek 255 40 6.38
San Ramon 289 48 6.02
Dublin  215 20 10.75
Pleasanton 213 25 8.52
Livermore 462 43 10.74
Blackhawk 51 3 17.00
Concord  640 79 8.10
Pleasant Hill 125 17 7.35
Lafayette  69 8 8.63
Orinda 30 9 3.33
Fremont 548 77 7.12
Hayward 906 48 18.88
San Leandro 450 39 11.54
San Lorenzo 152 13 11.69
Oakland 1527 130 11.75